ArbCity

How bonus bets work

A bonus bet is a stake the sportsbook gives you. Some books call it a free bet or bet credit. If it wins, you get the winnings. You don’t get the stake back. That one rule decides how you should use it.

Why a $100 bonus bet isn’t worth $100

A $100 cash bet at +400 pays $500 if it wins: $400 of winnings plus your $100 back. A $100 bonus bet at the same price pays $400. The $100 was never yours, so it doesn’t come back.

You also can’t withdraw a bonus bet. You have to bet it, usually within a week or two, and some come with minimum odds. Read the terms on yours before you use it.

Turn it into cash with a hedge

Place the bonus bet on one side of a game. Then bet the other side with cash at a different book, sized so you end up with the same amount whoever wins.

Say you have a $100 bonus bet. One book has a team at +400 and another book has the other side at −450.

Bonus bet at +400$100.00
Cash hedge at −450$327.27
If the bonus side wins+$72.73
If the hedge wins+$72.73

If the bonus wins, you collect $400 and lose the $327.27 hedge. If the hedge wins, it returns $400.00 on the $327.27 you put in. Either way you’re up $72.73. That’s a 72.7% conversion. It’s locked in only if both bets stand, so check that the odds haven’t moved before you place the second one.

Hedge = bonus × (bonus decimal odds − 1) ÷ hedge decimal odds
Cash kept = bonus × (bonus decimal odds − 1) − hedge

Which odds convert best

The usual advice is to use a bonus bet on long odds. That’s only half right. Longer odds raise the winnings you’re protecting, but they also multiply the vig you pay on the hedge. In a normal market, conversion peaks around +400 and falls off after that.

Bonus atHedge atCash keptConversion
−200+164$31.0831.1%
+100−120$45.5045.5%
+200−247$57.6757.7%
+300−388$61.5061.5%
+400−545$62.0062%
+500−722$60.8360.8%
+700−1150$56.0056%
+1000−2078$45.9145.9%

$100 bonus bet. Assumes the two sides make a market with a 4.5% hold (what −110 on both sides works out to), the same at every price. Longshot markets usually hold more, so long odds do even worse in real life.

At −200 you keep 31.1%, because the winnings are small. At +1000 you keep 45.9%, because the hedge side is so expensive.

So why did the example above reach 72.7%? Because +400 at one book and −450 at another add up to only a 1.8% hold. The real trick is shopping the hedge across books. A better hedge price is worth more than picking +400 over +300.

What counts as a good conversion

Turning 70% or more of a bonus bet into cash is solid. Above 75% is very good. If the best you can find is in the 50s, compare a few more books or wait for prices to move.

Mistakes that cost money

Open the Bonus Bet calculator

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